Siena vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
11.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
SIE
0 - 1
ANC
60%
24%
17%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
TUT
3 - 0
SIE
12%
22%
66%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
SIE
0 - 0
SAV
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
LAQ
1 - 2
SIE
12%
23%
65%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
SIE
3 - 3
TER
62%
23%
15%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
FRO
3 - 0
MES
81%
15%
5%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 2
MES
33%
28%
40%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
MES
1 - 1
CAS
29%
27%
43%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
AKR
3 - 3
MES
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
MES
1 - 1
LEC
16%
23%
61%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | +1 |