Siena vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
36.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
RCR
0 - 4
SIE
19%
22%
59%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
SIE
1 - 1
PIS
62%
22%
15%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ACP
1 - 2
SIE
21%
24%
55%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
COM
1 - 1
SIE
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
SIE
0 - 0
LRO
71%
19%
10%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
LIV
1 - 0
REN
74%
17%
9%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
GER
2 - 2
LIV
24%
27%
50%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
OLB
1 - 0
LIV
16%
23%
62%
|
60 | 40 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
LIV
1 - 1
ASL
76%
16%
8%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
COM
0 - 1
LIV
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |