Siena vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
50.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1946 |
SAL
3 - 0
SIE
49%
21%
30%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1945 |
SIE
1 - 1
FIO
35%
22%
43%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1945 |
NAP
6 - 1
SIE
61%
20%
19%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1945 |
SIE
1 - 1
BAR
50%
22%
28%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1945 |
SIE
1 - 0
PAL
57%
21%
22%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1946 |
LIV
1 - 0
LAZ
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1945 |
LIV
1 - 0
PES
77%
14%
10%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1945 |
FIO
2 - 1
LIV
57%
21%
22%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1945 |
ANC
1 - 1
LIV
19%
21%
61%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1945 |
LIV
4 - 1
BAR
66%
19%
16%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |