Siena vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
26.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
CHI
4 - 1
SIE
53%
25%
23%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
SIE
1 - 0
TRE
64%
22%
14%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
FIO
2 - 1
SIE
61%
22%
18%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
SIE
1 - 0
SAM
39%
28%
33%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
UDI
1 - 2
SIE
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
LEC
1 - 2
PAR
39%
25%
35%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
MES
2 - 1
LEC
48%
25%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
LEC
2 - 0
PAL
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
JUV
3 - 1
LEC
77%
15%
8%
|
74 | 93 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
LEC
0 - 0
REG
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |