Siena vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
28%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
REG
2 - 1
SIE
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
SIE
0 - 0
ROM
16%
25%
59%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2003 |
TER
0 - 1
SIE
22%
24%
54%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
PAR
1 - 1
SIE
73%
18%
9%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
SIE
4 - 0
EMP
34%
28%
38%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
MOD
2 - 0
LEC
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
LEC
1 - 4
BRE
35%
27%
38%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
ACM
3 - 0
LEC
76%
16%
8%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
LEC
1 - 2
CHI
35%
27%
38%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
LEC
3 - 1
ANC
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |