Siena vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
44.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
REG
1 - 1
SIE
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
SIE
1 - 2
LEC
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
CHI
4 - 1
SIE
53%
25%
23%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
SIE
1 - 0
TRE
64%
22%
14%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
FIO
2 - 1
SIE
61%
22%
18%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
LAZ
3 - 3
EMP
66%
20%
15%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
LAZ
2 - 0
SAM
61%
23%
17%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
INT
3 - 1
LAZ
67%
20%
13%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
LAZ
3 - 1
REG
67%
20%
13%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
CHI
2 - 2
LAZ
36%
28%
36%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | -1 |