Siena vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
54.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
12%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2003 |
SIE
1 - 2
JUV
16%
25%
59%
|
74 | 92 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
UDI
1 - 1
SIE
69%
20%
11%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
SIE
1 - 2
CHI
32%
28%
40%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
ANC
0 - 0
SIE
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
SIE
3 - 0
TER
69%
20%
11%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2003 |
LAZ
1 - 1
BJK
63%
21%
17%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
LAZ
3 - 1
PRG
65%
20%
15%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
ROM
2 - 0
LAZ
56%
23%
21%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2003 |
LAZ
0 - 4
CHL
50%
24%
25%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
UDI
1 - 2
LAZ
36%
27%
37%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |