Coppa Italia Last 16
Global 1-3
Siena vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
63.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.7%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
EMP
2 - 1
SIE
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2001 |
BAR
1 - 0
SIE
67%
21%
12%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
SIE
0 - 0
PIS
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
LAZ
2 - 1
SIE
93%
6%
1%
|
64 | 90 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
SIE
1 - 1
PAL
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
LAZ
1 - 0
JUV
53%
24%
24%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
UDI
1 - 4
LAZ
42%
25%
33%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
LAZ
2 - 1
SIE
93%
6%
1%
|
90 | 64 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
LAZ
5 - 0
BRE
70%
18%
12%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2001 |
NAN
1 - 0
LAZ
36%
25%
39%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |