Siena vs Follonica Gavorrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2017 |
SIE
0 - 0
FRA
46%
27%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
SIE
1 - 1
GAV
57%
24%
20%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
SIE
3 - 0
PIA
45%
26%
29%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
OLB
1 - 0
SIE
22%
22%
56%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
SIE
3 - 2
VIT
46%
26%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
GAV
2 - 0
MON
58%
21%
21%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
SIE
1 - 1
GAV
57%
24%
20%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
FBC
4 - 4
GAV
33%
26%
41%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
GAV
2 - 1
LAV
51%
24%
25%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 3
GAV
16%
19%
64%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |