Siena vs Empoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
37.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
SIE
0 - 1
INT
15%
23%
62%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
PRG
2 - 2
SIE
68%
21%
11%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
SAL
1 - 1
SIE
30%
28%
42%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
SIE
4 - 0
ASC
54%
26%
20%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
GEN
1 - 3
SIE
47%
27%
27%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
EMP
1 - 1
REG
46%
25%
28%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
JUV
5 - 1
EMP
78%
15%
7%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
EMP
0 - 2
PAR
31%
26%
43%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
TOR
1 - 1
EMP
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
EMP
0 - 0
ATL
44%
26%
31%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |