Siena vs Chievo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
27.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2005 |
LIV
3 - 6
SIE
49%
26%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
INT
2 - 0
SIE
78%
15%
7%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
SIE
2 - 3
UDI
28%
26%
46%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
ROM
0 - 2
SIE
72%
17%
11%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
SIE
2 - 1
ACM
14%
27%
59%
|
76 | 94 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Chievo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2005 |
CHI
1 - 2
FIO
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
PAL
2 - 2
CHI
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
CHI
1 - 1
CAG
49%
25%
27%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
ACM
1 - 0
CHI
80%
14%
6%
|
80 | 93 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
CHI
2 - 0
PAR
37%
27%
37%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |