Siena vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
16.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2002 |
SIE
0 - 0
LEC
31%
28%
42%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
NAP
1 - 2
SIE
61%
24%
15%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
COS
0 - 0
SIE
49%
27%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
SIE
1 - 1
BAR
34%
29%
37%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
ANC
1 - 1
SIE
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2002 |
CAT
0 - 2
NAP
23%
25%
52%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
CAT
1 - 1
ASC
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
TRI
4 - 0
CAT
63%
23%
15%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
CAT
2 - 1
SAL
27%
25%
48%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
SAM
1 - 0
CAT
74%
17%
9%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | 0 |