Siena vs Carrarese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
17.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
16%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
6.3%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
SIE
3 - 2
LRO
81%
15%
5%
|
70 | 42 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
ACP
0 - 0
SIE
15%
20%
65%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
SIE
2 - 2
AKR
71%
19%
9%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
MAS
0 - 2
SIE
7%
18%
75%
|
75 | 42 | 33 | -4 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
SIE
3 - 3
GAV
82%
14%
4%
|
75 | 28 | 47 | 0 |
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 1
PIS
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
SAV
1 - 0
CAR
39%
28%
33%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 1
ACP
49%
26%
25%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
PON
0 - 2
CAR
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 2
SPA
43%
27%
30%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |