Siena vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
26.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
ATL
1 - 0
SIE
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
SIE
4 - 0
ABN
61%
23%
16%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
SIE
2 - 2
PAL
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
INT
2 - 2
SIE
79%
15%
6%
|
79 | 93 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
SIE
1 - 0
JUV
17%
23%
60%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
CAG
1 - 4
LAZ
30%
27%
43%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
CAG
1 - 0
TRI
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
CAG
2 - 2
REG
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
UDI
0 - 2
CAG
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
CAG
2 - 1
FIO
29%
29%
41%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |