Siena vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
33.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
SAM
1 - 1
SIE
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
SIE
0 - 0
PAL
44%
28%
28%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
ATL
1 - 1
SIE
52%
26%
22%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2005 |
SIE
1 - 5
ROM
25%
28%
46%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
SIE
0 - 1
PAR
29%
27%
45%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
CAG
1 - 0
FIO
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2005 |
CAG
2 - 0
SAM
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
BOL
1 - 0
CAG
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
CAG
1 - 1
JUV
18%
24%
58%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2005 |
LAZ
3 - 2
CAG
71%
18%
12%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |