Siena vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
52.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2001 |
PIS
0 - 1
SIE
52%
25%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
SIE
1 - 1
CRO
45%
26%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2001 |
SIE
0 - 0
SAM
16%
24%
60%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2001 |
ASS
1 - 2
SIE
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
SIE
1 - 1
EMP
37%
28%
36%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2001 |
CAG
2 - 2
ANC
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2001 |
TOR
2 - 0
CAG
48%
25%
28%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2001 |
CAG
2 - 3
EMP
61%
23%
16%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2001 |
CTT
2 - 0
CAG
14%
22%
65%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
CAG
2 - 1
VNZ
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |