Coppa Italia 1/16
Global 3-6
Siena vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
37%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1940 |
MAC
1 - 2
SIE
27%
22%
51%
|
66 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1938 |
SIE
2 - 3
CIV
87%
9%
4%
|
66 | 22 | 44 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1941 |
BOL
2 - 2
LAZ
71%
17%
12%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1941 |
TRI
0 - 0
BOL
35%
27%
38%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1941 |
FIO
3 - 0
BOL
41%
25%
34%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1941 |
BOL
3 - 0
LIV
73%
16%
11%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
ACM
5 - 1
BOL
43%
25%
31%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |