Siena vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
33.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
SIE
1 - 0
REG
45%
28%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
JUV
1 - 0
SIE
78%
15%
7%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
SIE
1 - 2
INT
15%
24%
62%
|
78 | 92 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
PAL
2 - 0
SIE
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
NAP
2 - 0
SIE
54%
25%
21%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
ATL
3 - 1
INT
20%
24%
56%
|
80 | 92 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
PAL
3 - 2
ATL
53%
25%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
ATL
1 - 3
JUV
25%
26%
49%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
GEN
1 - 1
ATL
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
ATL
3 - 0
UDI
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |