Siena vs Carbonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.2%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.6%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.9%
4.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1958 |
FIO
1 - 0
SIE
75%
15%
10%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1958 |
SIE
3 - 2
ACP
64%
17%
19%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1946 |
FIO
5 - 0
SIE
83%
11%
7%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1946 |
SIE
1 - 4
NAP
41%
25%
35%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1946 |
BAR
4 - 0
SIE
61%
20%
19%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Carbonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1958 |
CAR
2 - 1
ACP
27%
23%
50%
|
27 | 57 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1958 |
FIO
4 - 0
CAR
77%
13%
10%
|
27 | 85 | 58 | 0 |