Siena vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
14.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2011 |
ASC
3 - 2
SIE
31%
28%
41%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
SIE
2 - 2
TOR
56%
25%
19%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
NOV
2 - 2
SIE
37%
28%
35%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
SIE
1 - 2
POR
72%
19%
9%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
GRO
0 - 1
SIE
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
VAR
3 - 0
MOD
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
REG
1 - 1
VAR
52%
27%
21%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
VAR
0 - 0
PAD
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
VAR
1 - 1
ASC
54%
26%
20%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
SAS
1 - 1
VAR
50%
27%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |