Siena vs Arzachena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
15.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
PIS
0 - 0
SIE
56%
26%
19%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
SIE
1 - 0
ASL
55%
24%
21%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
ACP
1 - 1
SIE
34%
25%
41%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
SIE
1 - 1
GAV
56%
24%
20%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2017 |
SIE
0 - 0
FRA
46%
27%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Arzachena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
ARZ
1 - 3
VIT
28%
26%
46%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2017 |
ARZ
0 - 3
VIT
34%
26%
40%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
ARZ
2 - 3
ARZ
57%
25%
18%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
OLB
2 - 1
ARZ
45%
26%
30%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
ARZ
4 - 0
ALB
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |