Siegburger SV 04 vs Union Schafhausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
14.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
1º
4º
4º
4
4º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
10 | 66 |
1º
|
57% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 59 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 54 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
9 | 51 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 46 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 45 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 45 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 41 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 41 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 36 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 36 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 33 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 31 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 29 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 28 |
15º
|
14% | |
|
|
8º
|
4 | 28 |
16º
|
22.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
94.5% | 47.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 52.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siegburger SV 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SPV
0 - 2
SIE
29%
22%
49%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
SIE
3 - 1
SPV
59%
20%
22%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
HUR
1 - 0
SIE
26%
23%
50%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SIE
2 - 3
GET
78%
14%
8%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
KON
0 - 1
SIE
37%
22%
40%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Union Schafhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
USC
1 - 0
HUR
35%
22%
44%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
USC
2 - 3
KON
35%
22%
43%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
USC
0 - 2
H05
30%
20%
49%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
USC
2 - 3
SVE
19%
23%
58%
|
27 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
BSC
4 - 0
USC
69%
19%
12%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | 0 |