Siegburger SV 04 vs SpVg Porz 1919 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
21.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
6º
15º
6º
31
8º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 62 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 61 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 58 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
97% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 42 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 38 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 27 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
74% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
16º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 95% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siegburger SV 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
HUR
1 - 0
SIE
26%
23%
50%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SIE
2 - 3
GET
78%
14%
8%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
KON
0 - 1
SIE
37%
22%
40%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SIE
0 - 1
SVE
28%
25%
47%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
H05
1 - 3
SIE
47%
23%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
SpVg Porz 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
SPV
0 - 2
VFL
22%
23%
55%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SCF
2 - 6
SPV
67%
17%
17%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +3 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FVE
4 - 2
SPV
30%
22%
49%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SPV
3 - 0
HUR
35%
22%
43%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +4 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
GET
1 - 3
SPV
36%
22%
42%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |