Siegburger SV 04 vs SC Fortuna Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
33.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
6º
15º
6º
36
6º
15º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 62 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 61 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 58 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
97% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 42 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 38 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 27 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
74% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
16º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siegburger SV 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
SIE
1 - 3
VFL
25%
22%
53%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
SPF
2 - 4
SIE
50%
22%
28%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
SIE
1 - 0
VIA
64%
19%
17%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
H05
2 - 5
SIE
74%
16%
10%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | +3 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
SIE
0 - 2
BSC
20%
21%
59%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
SC Fortuna Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 6
SCF
44%
23%
33%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
SCF
2 - 1
CRO
60%
19%
21%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
SCF
1 - 5
BLH
66%
18%
17%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
BGP
4 - 3
SCF
27%
22%
52%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -2 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
SCF
2 - 0
PES
46%
22%
32%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +2 |