Siegburger SV 04 vs Borussia Freialdenhoven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
28.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
6º
15º
6º
33
8º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 62 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 61 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 58 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
97% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 42 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 38 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 27 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
74% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
16º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 69.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 30.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siegburger SV 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BGP
0 - 0
SIE
36%
23%
41%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
USC
2 - 1
SIE
57%
20%
24%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
SIE
1 - 3
BER
23%
22%
56%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
FVE
1 - 0
SIE
8%
14%
78%
|
30 | 12 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
VFL
1 - 3
SIE
79%
13%
9%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Borussia Freialdenhoven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BFR
0 - 2
VFL
15%
18%
67%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SCF
1 - 1
BFR
63%
18%
19%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
BFR
1 - 2
SPV
78%
14%
9%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
HUR
1 - 5
BFR
46%
23%
30%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
BFR
1 - 1
GET
40%
22%
38%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |