Siegburger SV 04 vs Bergisch Gladbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
63.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
15º
13º
50
5º
16º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
77% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
77% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siegburger SV 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
SIE
1 - 2
SFB
15%
18%
67%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
SIE
0 - 4
TRI
6%
18%
76%
|
20 | 70 | 50 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
ALT
0 - 2
SIE
26%
23%
51%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
SIE
3 - 1
PES
44%
23%
33%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
BGP
1 - 2
SIE
39%
24%
37%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bergisch Gladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
BER
1 - 1
VEL
37%
24%
39%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2022 |
KFC
3 - 2
BER
48%
24%
29%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
DIE
5 - 0
BER
67%
19%
15%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
SCF
1 - 0
BER
17%
20%
63%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
BER
3 - 3
DUR
42%
23%
35%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |