Sicula Leonzio vs Gragnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
9.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sicula Leonzio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
USC
0 - 0
SIC
13%
17%
70%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
SIC
0 - 0
SAN
73%
17%
10%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SIC
1 - 0
POM
69%
19%
12%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
DTO
0 - 2
SIC
22%
26%
53%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
SIC
3 - 0
FCI
59%
22%
19%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Gragnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
GRA
0 - 0
POM
41%
24%
36%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
GRA
31%
23%
47%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
GRA
0 - 2
TUR
39%
23%
38%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
GRA
0 - 1
AEE
51%
22%
27%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
LEO
3 - 2
GRA
38%
24%
38%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |