Shenzhen Peng City vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
33.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
8º
16º
11º
23
2º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 74 |
1º
|
83.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 67 |
2º
|
63.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 60 |
3º
|
39% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 56 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 56 |
5º
|
33% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 46 |
6º
|
64% | |
|
|
7º
|
23 | 41 |
7º
|
37% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 39 |
8º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 33 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 31 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
16 | 31 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 30 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 27 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 26 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 26 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 25 |
16º
|
19.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
85.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
14.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shenzhen Peng City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
HAN
1 - 0
SJF
63%
23%
15%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SJF
2 - 0
ANH
59%
23%
17%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
NAN
0 - 1
SJF
37%
28%
34%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SJF
1 - 0
SHE
69%
21%
11%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
SJF
4 - 0
WWF
60%
24%
17%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
TIT
1 - 1
GUA
61%
23%
17%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 2
TIT
28%
28%
43%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
TIT
1 - 1
SHA
33%
28%
39%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
QIN
1 - 4
TIT
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
TIT
2 - 2
CBC
36%
28%
36%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |