Shenzhen Peng City vs Henan FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
32.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
8º
16º
10º
24
7º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 74 |
1º
|
85.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 70 |
2º
|
81% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 59 |
3º
|
45% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 57 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 57 |
5º
|
33% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 43 |
6º
|
61% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 38 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 38 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
24 | 35 |
9º
|
26% | |
|
|
10º
|
21 | 32 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 31 |
11º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 30 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 26 |
13º
|
25% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 25 |
14º
|
22% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 25 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 22 |
16º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
95.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
4.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shenzhen Peng City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
SHI
1 - 1
SJF
33%
28%
39%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
TIT
3 - 0
SJF
54%
26%
21%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
SJF
3 - 2
HAN
23%
25%
52%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
QFC
0 - 2
SJF
20%
25%
55%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 1
SJF
35%
29%
37%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Henan FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
HEN
0 - 1
SHA
17%
23%
60%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
MEI
0 - 3
HEN
37%
26%
37%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
HEN
1 - 0
QYI
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
RZY
0 - 1
HEN
5%
12%
83%
|
66 | 19 | 47 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
HEN
2 - 1
BEI
24%
26%
50%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +1 |