Shenzhen Peng City vs Chengdu Rongcheng analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
56.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
8º
16º
14º
52
2º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 76 |
1º
|
76% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 74 |
2º
|
76% | |
|
|
3º
|
52 | 62 |
3º
|
96% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 53 |
4º
|
92.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 47 |
5º
|
87% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 43 |
6º
|
59% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 40 |
7º
|
49.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 35 |
8º
|
36.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 34 |
9º
|
29% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 32 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 31 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 31 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 29 |
13º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
24 | 29 |
14º
|
30.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 27 |
15º
|
69% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 19 |
16º
|
96% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 96% |
|
Mid-table
|
83% | 4% |
|
Relegation
|
17% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shenzhen Peng City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
WFC
4 - 1
SJF
59%
24%
18%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
SJF
1 - 0
BEI
20%
25%
55%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
SJF
2 - 1
CHA
40%
26%
35%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
SJF
0 - 0
SHA
20%
25%
55%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
SJF
0 - 0
HEN
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chengdu Rongcheng
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
CBC
4 - 0
CHA
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
HAN
1 - 3
CBC
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
WFC
1 - 1
CBC
32%
26%
42%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
CBC
2 - 0
GUA
78%
14%
8%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
CBC
2 - 1
TIT
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |