Shenzhen Peng City vs Changchun Yatai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
34.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
8º
16º
13º
27
9º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 78 |
1º
|
88.5% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 74 |
2º
|
88.5% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 59 |
3º
|
87% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 56 |
4º
|
87% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 47 |
5º
|
89% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 43 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 42 |
7º
|
41% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 38 |
8º
|
44% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 35 |
9º
|
39% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 31 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 31 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
|
14º
|
24 | 31 |
13º
|
20.5% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 29 |
14º
|
26.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
74.5% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 19 |
16º
|
96% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
85% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
15% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shenzhen Peng City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
SJF
0 - 0
SHA
20%
25%
55%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
SJF
0 - 0
HEN
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
SHI
1 - 1
SJF
33%
28%
39%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
TIT
3 - 0
SJF
54%
26%
21%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
SJF
3 - 2
HAN
23%
25%
52%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Changchun Yatai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
TIT
4 - 3
CHA
47%
23%
30%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
SHA
3 - 2
CHA
68%
20%
13%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
TIT
2 - 2
CHA
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
CHA
5 - 0
QIN
46%
27%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 2
SHA
12%
20%
68%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | +1 |