Sibiryak Bratsk vs Smena Komsomolsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
47.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sibiryak Bratsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2011 |
SIB
3 - 2
SIB
44%
24%
33%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2011 |
YAK
1 - 1
SIB
60%
21%
20%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
SIB
2 - 1
MOP
35%
25%
41%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2011 |
SIB
1 - 3
SAK
34%
27%
40%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
IRT
1 - 1
SIB
64%
21%
15%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Smena Komsomolsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2011 |
SME
2 - 2
YAK
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
SAK
0 - 2
SME
42%
27%
31%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2011 |
MOP
2 - 1
SME
39%
26%
35%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
SME
2 - 2
IRT
44%
27%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2011 |
SME
2 - 1
DIN
28%
26%
46%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |