Sibiryak Bratsk vs Smena Komsomolsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
44.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sibiryak Bratsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2010 |
DIN
2 - 0
SIB
57%
22%
21%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2010 |
MET
1 - 1
SIB
76%
15%
9%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
KUK
1 - 2
SIB
33%
24%
43%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
IRT
3 - 2
SIB
65%
20%
16%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
DIN
4 - 0
SIB
59%
22%
19%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Smena Komsomolsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2010 |
SME
1 - 1
MET
24%
26%
50%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2010 |
SME
4 - 2
KUK
70%
19%
10%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2010 |
MOP
1 - 1
SME
39%
26%
36%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
OKN
0 - 3
SME
15%
23%
62%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
OKN
2 - 3
SME
18%
25%
57%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |