Sibiryak Bratsk vs Amur-2010 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
59.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sibiryak Bratsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
SIB
1 - 1
FCC
17%
25%
59%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
SAK
3 - 0
SIB
71%
19%
10%
|
25 | 50 | 25 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2013 |
SME
3 - 1
SIB
68%
20%
12%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
SIB
1 - 1
YAK
21%
23%
56%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
YAK
0 - 0
SIB
75%
15%
10%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Amur-2010
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
RAD
0 - 0
AMU
35%
26%
40%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
AMU
1 - 2
IRT
60%
22%
17%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2013 |
AMU
3 - 0
SIB
78%
15%
7%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
FCC
4 - 0
AMU
49%
25%
26%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
AMU
2 - 1
FCC
41%
27%
32%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |