Sibir Novosibirsk vs Tom Tomsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
58.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sibir Novosibirsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
SIB
1 - 1
YEN
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
TYU
3 - 1
SIB
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
SIB
1 - 1
YAR
37%
28%
35%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
SOK
1 - 1
SIB
39%
27%
35%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
TYU
0 - 1
SIB
41%
25%
34%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Tom Tomsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
TOM
1 - 0
ARS
41%
26%
34%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
PER
1 - 0
TOM
53%
26%
22%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
TOM
0 - 1
CSK
26%
26%
48%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
FCR
3 - 0
TOM
60%
24%
17%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
TOM
1 - 0
UFA
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |