Sibir Novosibirsk vs Spartak Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
51.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sibir Novosibirsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
TER
1 - 1
SIB
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
SIB
0 - 1
TOM
47%
27%
27%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
LOK
1 - 1
SIB
64%
22%
14%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
SIB
2 - 5
ZEN
24%
24%
52%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
DIN
4 - 1
SIB
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Spartak Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
SPA
1 - 1
BAS
50%
23%
28%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
BAS
2 - 3
SPA
56%
22%
22%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
ZIL
1 - 2
SPA
32%
23%
45%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
DIN
1 - 1
SPA
36%
26%
38%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2010 |
SPA
0 - 3
MAR
40%
25%
35%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |