Sibir Novosibirsk vs Mordovia Saransk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
44.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sibir Novosibirsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
YAR
2 - 1
SIB
53%
27%
21%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
AVA
3 - 2
SIB
52%
27%
21%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
SIB
0 - 1
TOR
43%
28%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
SOC
4 - 1
SIB
78%
16%
6%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
SIB
0 - 0
OLY
34%
28%
38%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mordovia Saransk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
MOR
2 - 1
TOR
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
BAL
1 - 0
MOR
35%
28%
37%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 0
ZEN
62%
23%
15%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
ROT
1 - 1
MOR
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 1
KHI
55%
26%
20%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |