Q. Europa League 3ra Ronda Final
Global 2-2
Sibir Novosibirsk vs Apollon Limassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
42.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sibir Novosibirsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
SIB
2 - 2
LOK
28%
27%
45%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2010 |
SPA
5 - 3
SIB
73%
17%
9%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
ZEN
2 - 0
SIB
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2010 |
AVA
2 - 5
SIB
20%
25%
55%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2010 |
SIB
2 - 2
DIN
35%
27%
38%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Apollon Limassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2010 |
APO
2 - 1
APO
46%
25%
30%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
APO
3 - 2
APO
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
APO
0 - 0
ANO
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2010 |
APO
1 - 0
AEL
65%
20%
15%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
OMO
1 - 1
APO
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |