Sibir Novosibirsk II vs Smena Komsomolsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
48.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sibir Novosibirsk II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
SIB
0 - 0
SAK
13%
22%
65%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
MET
1 - 1
SIB
78%
15%
7%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2015 |
DIN
0 - 1
SIB
65%
20%
16%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
SIB
2 - 2
TOM
46%
22%
32%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
SIB
2 - 2
IRT
21%
24%
55%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
Smena Komsomolsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
FCC
0 - 1
SME
33%
28%
39%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2015 |
SME
5 - 2
YAK
63%
23%
15%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
SME
1 - 0
SAK
23%
27%
50%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2015 |
SME
2 - 0
FCC
44%
27%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2015 |
SME
0 - 1
RAD
39%
27%
34%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |