Sibir Novosibirsk II vs Zenit Irkutsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
31.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sibir Novosibirsk II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
SIB
1 - 1
FCC
23%
25%
52%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
FCC
3 - 1
SIB
63%
22%
15%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
FKZ
5 - 0
SIB
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
SIB
1 - 1
IRT
53%
24%
24%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
SIB
3 - 1
DIN
25%
24%
51%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +3 |
Matches
Zenit Irkutsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
SAK
3 - 0
FKZ
71%
18%
11%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
FKZ
0 - 1
SAK
29%
26%
45%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
FKZ
5 - 0
SIB
47%
24%
29%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
SAK
3 - 0
FKZ
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
FCC
1 - 3
FKZ
63%
22%
15%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +2 |