Sibir Novosibirsk II vs Amur-2010 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
19.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sibir Novosibirsk II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2011 |
SIB
3 - 2
SIB
44%
24%
33%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
YAK
3 - 2
SIB
61%
21%
18%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
SIB
1 - 3
SAK
38%
25%
37%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2011 |
SIB
1 - 1
MOP
41%
24%
35%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
DIN
5 - 0
SIB
71%
18%
12%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Amur-2010
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2011 |
AMU
1 - 0
YAK
24%
24%
52%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2011 |
SAK
1 - 1
AMU
74%
17%
9%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
MOP
1 - 0
AMU
70%
17%
13%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
AMU
2 - 3
DIN
13%
21%
66%
|
23 | 46 | 23 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2011 |
AMU
1 - 0
IRT
12%
22%
66%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | +4 |