Shumen 2010 vs Septemvri Simitli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shumen 2010
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
LYU
1 - 0
SHU
58%
24%
18%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SHU
3 - 1
PIR
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CHA
1 - 0
SHU
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
SHU
2 - 2
SPL
35%
27%
38%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
KAL
2 - 2
SHU
52%
23%
25%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Septemvri Simitli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
SEP
1 - 2
NEF
18%
25%
57%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SEP
1 - 3
LYU
22%
28%
50%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
PIR
2 - 0
SEP
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
SEP
0 - 1
CHA
36%
27%
37%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
SPL
1 - 0
SEP
63%
23%
14%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |