Shukura vs Sapovnela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
18.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shukura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
MER
0 - 3
SHU
38%
24%
39%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
CHK
0 - 3
SHU
21%
23%
56%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
GAG
1 - 2
SHU
40%
25%
35%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
SHU
4 - 1
DIN
58%
22%
20%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
SHU
0 - 0
MER
50%
23%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sapovnela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2014 |
SAP
1 - 1
DIN
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
SAP
6 - 0
ADE
77%
15%
8%
|
51 | 26 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
IME
1 - 0
SAP
19%
22%
59%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2013 |
SKU
2 - 2
SAP
14%
21%
66%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
SAP
2 - 0
MER
76%
15%
9%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | 0 |