Shukura vs Samgurali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
51.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
4º
10º
10º
57
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
11 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shukura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
SHU
3 - 4
GAG
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
FTK
1 - 2
SHU
66%
21%
13%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
SHU
2 - 2
SAM
53%
24%
24%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
DTB
4 - 4
SHU
78%
15%
7%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
SHU
2 - 3
GOR
20%
26%
54%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Samgurali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 2
SAM
20%
25%
56%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 2
GOR
37%
28%
35%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
SAB
5 - 1
SAM
50%
26%
25%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 1
DBA
27%
27%
46%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
FTK
1 - 3
SAM
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |