Shukura vs Samgurali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shukura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
SHU
3 - 1
ALG
74%
17%
9%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
SHU
2 - 0
ADE
78%
15%
7%
|
57 | 32 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
CHK
0 - 1
SHU
30%
26%
44%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
SHU
3 - 0
KOL
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
SHU
5 - 0
MER
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Samgurali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
TSK
5 - 0
SAM
67%
19%
14%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
SAM
2 - 2
ACH
68%
19%
13%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
SAM
1 - 0
SAM
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ALG
1 - 1
SAM
29%
24%
47%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
ADE
4 - 2
SAM
22%
23%
55%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | -1 |