Shukura vs Merani Tbilisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
14%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shukura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
SHU
2 - 0
SAM
59%
21%
20%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
SHE
1 - 2
SHU
34%
25%
41%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
GAG
4 - 1
SHU
40%
27%
33%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2018 |
SHU
1 - 1
WIT
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2018 |
SHU
4 - 0
NOR
69%
18%
14%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Merani Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2018 |
WIT
0 - 0
NOR
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
NOR
1 - 1
TEL
43%
23%
34%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
MER
1 - 1
NOR
67%
20%
13%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2018 |
NOR
0 - 0
DBA
31%
27%
42%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2018 |
SHU
4 - 0
NOR
69%
18%
14%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |