Shukura vs Gagra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
21.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
4º
10º
10º
38
7º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
11 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shukura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
FTK
1 - 2
SHU
66%
21%
13%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
SHU
2 - 2
SAM
53%
24%
24%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
DTB
4 - 4
SHU
78%
15%
7%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
SHU
2 - 3
GOR
20%
26%
54%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
TEL
0 - 0
SHU
44%
28%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
GAG
0 - 1
SAM
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
GOR
1 - 0
GAG
70%
20%
10%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
GAG
1 - 2
SAB
19%
24%
57%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
DBA
3 - 1
GAG
84%
12%
4%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
GAG
0 - 0
FTK
26%
27%
47%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |