Shukura vs Gagra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shukura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2013 |
DIN
3 - 4
SHU
50%
23%
27%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2013 |
SHU
1 - 0
SKU
75%
16%
9%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
ADE
1 - 2
SHU
18%
22%
60%
|
56 | 32 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2013 |
SHU
4 - 0
ACH
76%
15%
9%
|
56 | 34 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2013 |
MER
1 - 1
SHU
23%
24%
53%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2013 |
GAG
2 - 0
TEL
46%
25%
30%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
DIN
1 - 1
GAG
59%
21%
20%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2013 |
MET
2 - 0
GAG
68%
20%
12%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2013 |
BET
3 - 3
GAG
21%
23%
56%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
GAG
2 - 3
SKU
76%
16%
8%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | -1 |