EFL Cup 1/64
Global 1-3
Shrewsbury Town vs Tranmere Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
34.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shrewsbury Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1996 |
STF
1 - 1
WYC
47%
26%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1996 |
BUR
2 - 1
STF
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
STF
1 - 2
SWI
27%
26%
47%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1996 |
OXF
6 - 0
STF
68%
20%
12%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
STF
2 - 1
BRE
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Tranmere Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1996 |
SOU
1 - 1
TRA
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
TRA
2 - 0
SUN
50%
25%
24%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1996 |
CHA
0 - 0
TRA
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
GRI
1 - 1
TRA
45%
27%
27%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
POR
1 - 1
TRA
55%
25%
21%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |