Shrewsbury Town vs Rotherham United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
25.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shrewsbury Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
STF
2 - 0
MOR
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
NOR
2 - 7
STF
24%
26%
49%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
NEW
0 - 1
STF
26%
24%
50%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
DAG
0 - 2
STF
28%
26%
47%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
STF
0 - 0
AFC
50%
26%
25%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Rotherham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
ROT
1 - 2
CRA
28%
27%
45%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 3
ROT
32%
26%
42%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 2
ROT
33%
24%
43%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
ROT
2 - 0
ALD
36%
27%
37%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
NOR
1 - 1
ROT
41%
25%
34%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |